New labor curves of dilation and station to improve the accuracy of predicting labor progress.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of failure to progress, the most common indication for intrapartum cesarean delivery, is based on the assessment of cervical dilation and station over time. Labor curves serve as references of expected changes in dilation and fetal descent. The labor curves of Friedman, Zhang et al and others are based on time alone and derived from mothers with spontaneous labor onset. However, labor induction is now common, and clinicians also consider other factors when assessing labor progress. Labor curves that consider the use of induction and other factors that influence labor progress have the potential to be more accurate and closer to clinical decision-making. OBJECTIVE: To compare the prediction errors of labor curves based on a single factor (time) or multiple clinically relevant factors using 2 modeling methods: mixed-effects regression, a standard statistical method, and Gaussian processes, a machine learning method. STUDY DESIGN: This was a longitudinal cohort study of changes in dilation and station based on data from 8022 births in nulliparous women with a live, singleton, vertex presenting fetus at ≥35 weeks of gestation with a vaginal delivery. New labor curves of dilation and station were generated with 10-fold cross-validation. External validation was performed using a geographically independent group. Model variables included time from the first exam in the 20 hours before delivery; dilation, effacement and station recorded at the previous examination; cumulative contraction counts; and use of epidural anesthesia and labor induction. To assess model accuracy, we calculated the differences between each model's predicted value and its corresponding observed value. These prediction errors were summarized using mean absolute error and root mean squared error statistics. RESULTS: (1) Dilation curves based on multiple parameters were more accurate than those derived from time alone. (2) The mean absolute error with the multifactor methods were better (lower) than those from the single-factor methods [0.826 cm (95% CI, 0.820-0.832) for the multifactor machine learning and 0.893 cm (95% CI, 0.885-0.901) for the multifactor mixed-effects method and 2.122 cm (95% CI, 2.108-2.136) for the single-factor methods; P<0.0001 for both comparisons]. (3) The root mean squared errors with the multifactor methods were also better (lower) than those from the single-factor methods [1.126 cm (95% CI, 1.118-1.133) P<0.0001 for the machine learning and 1.172cm (95% CI, 1.164-1.181) for the mixed-effects method and 2.504 cm (95% CI, 2.487-2.521) for the single-factor; P<0.0001 for both comparisons]. (4) The multifactor machine learning dilation models showed small but statistically significant improvements in accuracy compared to the mixed-effects regression models (P<0.0001). (5) The multifactor machine learning method produced a curve of descent with a mean absolute error of 0.512 cm (95% CI, 0.509-0.515) and a root mean squared error of 0.660 cm (95% CI, 0.655-0.666). (6) External validation using independent data produced similar findings. CONCLUSIONS: (1) Cervical dilation models based on multiple clinically relevant parameters showed improved (lower) prediction errors compared to models based on time alone; (2) the mean prediction errors were reduced by more than 50%; and (3) a more accurate assessment of departure from expected dilation and station may help clinicians optimize intrapartum management.

Real-World Utilization of an Intrauterine, Vacuum-Induced, Hemorrhage-Control Device.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the real-world effectiveness and safety of a U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-cleared intrauterine vacuum-induced-hemorrhage control device for postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) management. METHODS: Sixteen centers in the United States participated in this observational, postmarket registry medical record review (October 2020 through March 2022). The primary effectiveness outcome was treatment success , defined as bleeding control after insertion with no treatment escalation or bleeding recurrence. Additional outcomes included blood loss, time to device insertion, indwelling time, bleeding recurrence, and time to bleeding control. Treatment success and severe maternal morbidity measures (transfusion of 4 or more units of red blood cell, intensive care unit admission, and hysterectomy) were evaluated by blood loss before insertion. To assess safety, serious adverse events (SAEs) and adverse device effects were collected. All outcomes were summarized by mode of delivery; treatment success was summarized by bleeding cause (all causes, any atony, isolated atony, nonatony). RESULTS: In total, 800 individuals (530 vaginal births, 270 cesarean births) were treated with the device; 94.3% had uterine atony (alone or in combination with other causes). Median total blood loss at device insertion was 1,050 mL in vaginal births and 1,600 mL in cesarean births. Across all bleeding causes, the treatment success rate was 92.5% for vaginal births and was 83.7% for cesarean births (95.8% [n=307] and 88.2% [n=220], respectively, in isolated atony). Median indwelling time was 3.1 hours and 4.6 hours, respectively. In vaginal births, 14 SAEs were reported among 13 individuals (2.5%). In cesarean births, 22 SAEs were reported among 21 individuals (7.8%). Three (0.4%) SAEs were deemed possibly related to the device or procedure. No uterine perforations or deaths were reported. CONCLUSION: For both vaginal and cesarean births in real-world settings, rapid and effective bleeding control was achieved with an FDA-cleared intrauterine vacuum-induced hemorrhage-control device. The safety profile was consistent with that observed in the registrational trial (NCT02883673), and SAEs or adverse device effects were of the nature and severity expected in the setting of PPH. This device is an important new tool for managing a life-threatening condition, and timely utilization may help to improve obstetric hemorrhage outcomes. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT04995887.

Risk Factors for Perinatal Transmission of Hepatitis C Virus.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the rate of perinatal transmission of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, to identify risk factors for perinatal transmission of HCV infection, and to determine the viremic threshold for perinatal transmission. METHODS: This was a prospective, multicenter, observational study of pregnant individuals at less than 24 weeks of gestation screened for HCV infection from 2012 to 2018 in the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network. Individuals found to be HCV antibody-positive were followed throughout pregnancy. Children were followed for evidence of perinatal transmission at 2-6 months (HCV RNA testing) and at 18-24 months (HCV RNA and antibody testing) of life. The primary outcome was perinatal transmission, defined as positive test results at either follow-up time point. RESULTS: A total of 109,379 individuals were screened for HCV infection. Of the 1,224 participants who screened positive, 772 (63.1%) enrolled and 432 of those 772 (56.0%) had data available to assess primary outcome. The overall rate of perinatal transmission was 6.0% (26/432, 95% CI 4.0-8.7%). All children with HCV infection were born to individuals with demonstrable viremia. In viremic participants (n=314), the perinatal transmission rate was 8.0% (95% CI 5.2-11.5%). Risk factors for perinatal transmission included HCV RNA greater than 106 international units/mL (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 8.22, 95% CI 3.16-21.4) and vaginal bleeding reported at any time before delivery (aOR 3.26, 95% CI 1.32-8.03). A viremic threshold for perinatal transmission could not be established. CONCLUSION: Perinatal transmission of HCV infection was limited to viremic individuals. High viral loads and antepartum bleeding were associated with perinatal transmission.

Outcomes of induction vs prelabor cesarean delivery at <33 weeks for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are the leading cause of indicated preterm birth; however, the optimal delivery approach for pregnancies complicated by preterm hypertensive disorders of pregnancy remains uncertain. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare maternal and neonatal morbidity in patients with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy who either went induction of labor or prelabor cesarean delivery at <33 weeks' gestation. In addition, we aimed to quantify the length of induction of labor and rate of vaginal delivery in those who underwent induction of labor. STUDY DESIGN: This is a secondary analysis of an observational study which included 115,502 patients in 25 hospitals in the United States from 2008 to 2011. Patients were included in the secondary analysis if they were delivered for pregnancy associated hypertension (gestational hypertension or preeclampsia) between 230 and <330 weeks' gestation; and were excluded for known fetal anomalies, multiple gestation, fetal malpresentation or demise, or a contraindication to labor. Maternal and neonatal adverse composite outcomes were evaluated by intended mode of delivery. Secondary outcomes were duration of labor induction and rate of cesarean delivery in those who underwent labor induction. RESULTS: A total of 471 patients met inclusion criteria, of whom 271 (58%) underwent induction of labor and 200 (42%) underwent prelabor cesarean delivery. Composite maternal morbidity was 10.2% in the induction group and 21.1% in the cesarean delivery group (unadjusted odds ratio, 0.42 [0.25-0.72]; adjusted odds ratio, 0.44 [0.26-0.76]). Neonatal morbidity in the induction group vs the cesarean delivery was 51.9% and 63.8 %, respectively (unadjusted odds ratio, 0.61 [0.42-0.89]; adjusted odds ratio, 0.71 [0.48-1.06]). The frequency of vaginal delivery in the induction group was 53% (95% confidence interval, 46.8-58.7) and the median duration of labor was 13.9 hours (interquartile range, 8.7-22.2). The frequency of vaginal birth was higher in patients at or beyond 29 weeks (39.9% at 240-286 weeks, 56.3% at 290-<330 weeks; P=.01). CONCLUSION: Among patients delivered for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy <330 weeks, labor induction compared with prelabor cesarean delivery is associated with significantly lower odds of maternal but not neonatal morbidity. More than half of patients induced delivered vaginally, with a median duration of labor induction of 13.9 hours.

Short-term neonatal outcomes of pregnancies complicated by maternal obesity.

BACKGROUND: Maternal obesity complicates a high number of pregnancies. The degree to which neonatal outcomes are adversely affected is unclear. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate neonatal outcomes of pregnancies complicated by maternal obesity. STUDY DESIGN: This study was a secondary analysis of a cohort of deliveries occurring on randomly selected days at 25 hospitals from 2008 to 2011. Data were collected by certified abstractors. This analysis included singleton deliveries between 24 and 42 weeks of gestation. Body mass index was calculated on the basis of maternal height and most recent weight before delivery. Normal and overweight (reference group; body mass index, 18.5-29.9 kg/m2), obese (body mass index, 30.0-39.9 kg/m2), morbidly obese (body mass index, 40.0-49.9 kg/m2), and super morbidly obese (body mass index, ≥50 kg/m2) patients were compared. Patients in the reference group were matched in a 1:1 ratio with those in all other groups with obesity using the baseline characteristics of age, race and ethnicity, previous cesarean delivery, preexisting diabetes mellitus, chronic hypertension, parity, cigarette use, and insurance status. The primary outcome was composite neonatal morbidity, including fetal or neonatal death, hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy, respiratory distress syndrome, intraventricular hemorrhage grade 3 or 4, necrotizing enterocolitis, sepsis, birth injury, seizures, or ventilator use. We used a modified Poisson regression to examine the associations between body mass index and composite neonatal outcome. Preterm delivery at <37 weeks of gestation and the presence of maternal preeclampsia or eclampsia were included in the final model because of their known associations with neonatal outcomes. RESULTS: Overall, 52,162 patients and their neonates were included after propensity score matching. Of these, 21,704 (41.6%) were obese, 3787 (7.3%) were morbidly obese, and 590 (1.1%) were super morbidly obese. A total of 2103 neonates (4.0%) had the composite outcome. Neonates born to pregnant people with morbid obesity had a 33% increased risk of composite neonatal morbidity compared with those in the reference group (adjusted odds ratio, 1.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-1.52), but no significant association was observed for persons with obesity (adjusted odds ratio, 1.05; 95% confidence interval, 0.97-1.14) or with super morbid obesity (adjusted odds ratio, 1.18; 95% confidence interval, 0.86-1.64). CONCLUSION: Compared with the reference group, gravidas with morbid obesity were at higher risk of composite neonatal morbidity.

The Association of Race and Ethnicity with Severe Maternal Morbidity among Individuals Diagnosed with Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine whether there are racial disparities in severe maternal morbidity (SMM) in patients with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP). STUDY DESIGN: Secondary analysis of an observational study of 115,502 patients who had a live birth at ≥20 weeks in 25 hospitals in the United States from 2008 to 2011. Only patients with HDP were included in this analysis. Race and ethnicity were categorized as non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black (NHB), and Hispanic and were abstracted from the medical charts. Patients of other races and ethnicities were excluded. Associations were estimated between race and ethnicity, and the primary outcome of SMM, defined as any of the following, was estimated by unadjusted logistic and multivariable backward logistic regressions: blood transfusion ≥4 units, unexpected surgical procedure, need for a ventilator ≥12 hours, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, or failure of ≥1 organ system. Multivariable models were run classifying HDP into three levels as follows: (1) gestational hypertension; (2) preeclampsia (mild, severe, or superimposed); and (3) eclampsia or HELLP (hemolysis, elevated liver enzymes, and low platelet count) syndrome. RESULTS: A total of 9,612 individuals with HDP met inclusion criteria. No maternal deaths occurred in this cohort. In univariable analysis, non-Hispanic White patients were more likely to present with gestational hypertension whereas NHB and Hispanic patients were more likely to present with preeclampsia. The frequency of the primary outcome, composite SMM, was higher in NHB patients compared with that in non-Hispanic White or Hispanic patients (11.8 vs. 4.5% in non-Hispanic White and 4.8% in Hispanic, p < 0.001). This difference was driven by a higher frequency of blood transfusions and ICU admissions among NHB individuals. Prior to adjusting the analysis for confounding factors, the odds ratio (OR) of primary composite outcomes in NHB individuals was 2.85 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.38, 3.42) compared with non-Hispanic White. After adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical factors, hospital site, and the severity of HDP, the OR of composite SMM did not differ between the groups (adjusted OR [aOR] = 1.26, 95% CI: 0.95, 1.67 for NHB, and aOR = 1.29, 95% CI: 0.94, 1.77 for Hispanic, compared with non-Hispanic White patients). Sensitivity analysis was done to exclude one single site that was an outliner with the highest ICU admissions and demonstrated no difference in ICU admission by maternal race and ethnicity. CONCLUSION: NHB patients with HDP had higher rates of the composite SMM compared with non-Hispanic White patients, driven mainly by a higher frequency of blood transfusions and ICU admissions. However, once severity and other confounding factors were taken into account, the differences did not persist. KEY POINTS: · Black patients with HDP had higher frequency of SMM compared with non-Hispanic White patients.. · The SMM disparities were driven by blood transfusions and ICU admissions.. · After adjustment for confounders, including HDP severity, the significant difference in SMM did not persist..

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Adverse Perinatal Outcomes at Term.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate whether racial and ethnic disparities in adverse perinatal outcomes exist at term. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a secondary analysis of a multicenter observational study of 115,502 pregnant patients and their neonates (2008-2011). Singleton, nonanomalous pregnancies delivered from 37 to 41 weeks were included. Race and ethnicity were abstracted from the medical record and categorized as non-Hispanic White (White; referent), non-Hispanic Black (Black), non-Hispanic Asian (Asian), or Hispanic. The primary outcome was an adverse perinatal composite defined as perinatal death, Apgar score < 4 at 5 minutes, ventilator support, hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy, subgaleal hemorrhage, skeletal fracture, infant stay greater than maternal stay (by ≥ 3 days), brachial plexus palsy, or facial nerve palsy. RESULTS: Of the 72,117 patients included, 48% were White, 20% Black, 5% Asian, and 26% Hispanic. The unadjusted risk of the primary outcome was highest for neonates of Black patients (3.1%, unadjusted relative risk [uRR] = 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.30), lowest for neonates of Hispanic patients (2.1%, uRR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.71-0.89), and no different for neonates of Asian (2.6%), compared with those of White patients (2.7%). In the adjusted model including age, body mass index (BMI), smoking, obstetric history, and high-risk pregnancy, differences in risk for the primary outcome were no longer observed for neonates of Black (adjusted relative risk [aRR] = 1.06, 95% CI: 0.94-1.19) and Hispanic (aRR = 0.92, 95% CI: 0.81-1.04) patients. Adding insurance to the model lowered the risk for both groups (aRR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.75-0.96 for Black; aRR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.59-0.78 for Hispanic). CONCLUSION: Although neonates of Black patients have the highest frequency of adverse perinatal outcomes at term, after adjustment for sociodemographic factors, this higher risk is no longer observed, suggesting the importance of developing strategies that address social determinants of health to lessen extant health disparities. KEY POINTS: · Term neonates of Black patients have the highest crude frequency of adverse perinatal outcomes.. · After adjustment for confounders, higher risk for neonates of Black patients is no longer observed.. · Disparities in outcomes are strongly related to insurance status..

Association of Maternal Body Mass Index and Maternal Morbidity And Mortality.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the association of maternal body mass index (BMI) with a composite of severe maternal outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a cohort of deliveries on randomly selected days at 25 hospitals from 2008 to 2011. Data on comorbid conditions, intrapartum events, and postpartum course were collected. The reference group (REF, BMI: 18.5-29.9kg/m2), obese (OB; BMI: 30-39.9kg/m2), morbidly obese (MO; BMI: 40-49.9kg/m2), and super morbidly obese (SMO; BMI ≥ 50kg/m2) women were compared. The composite of severe maternal outcomes was defined as death, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, ventilator use, deep venous thrombosis/pulmonary embolus (DVT/PE), sepsis, hemorrhage, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), unplanned operative procedure, or stroke. Patients in the REF group were matched 1:1 with those in all other obesity groups based on propensity score using the baseline characteristics of age, race/ethnicity, previous cesarean, preexisting diabetes, chronic hypertension, parity, cigarette use, and insurance status. Multivariable Poisson's regression was used to estimate adjusted relative risks (aRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between BMI and the composite outcome. Because cesarean delivery may be in the causal pathway between obesity and adverse maternal outcomes, models were then adjusted for mode of delivery to evaluate potential mediation. RESULTS: A total of 52,162 pregnant patients are included in the analysis. Risk of composite maternal outcomes was increased for SMO compared with REF but not for OB and MO [OB: aRR=1.06, 95% CI: 0.99-1.14; MO: aRR=1.10, 95% CI: 0.97-1.25; SMO: aRR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.02-1.70]. However, in the mediation analysis, cesarean appears to mediate 46% (95% CI: 31-50%) of the risk of severe morbidity for SMO compared with REF. CONCLUSION: Super morbid obesity is significantly associated with increased serious maternal morbidity and mortality; however, cesarean appears to mediate this association. Obesity and morbid obesity are not associated with maternal morbidity and mortality. KEY POINTS: · Super morbid obesity is associated with increased morbidity.. · Cesarean appears to mediate the association between super morbid obesity and morbidity.. · Obesity and morbid maternal obesity are not associated with morbidity..

Comparison of Cesarean Deliveries in a Multicenter U.S. Cohort Using the 10-Group Classification System.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to (1) use the Robson 10-Group Classification System (TGCS), which classifies deliveries into 10 mutually exclusive groups, to characterize the groups that are primary contributors to cesarean delivery frequencies, (2) describe inter-hospital variations in cesarean delivery frequencies, and (3) evaluate the contribution of patient characteristics by TGCS group to hospital variation in cesarean delivery frequencies. STUDY DESIGN: This was a secondary analysis of an observational cohort of 115,502 deliveries from 25 hospitals between 2008 and 2011. The TGCS was applied to the cohort and each hospital. We identified and compared the TGCS groups with the greatest relative contributions to cohort and hospital cesarean delivery frequencies. We assessed variation in hospital cesarean deliveries attributable to patient characteristics within TGCS groups using hierarchical logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 115,211 patients were classifiable in the TGCS (99.7%). The cohort cesarean delivery frequency was 31.4% (hospital range: 19.1-39.3%). Term singletons in vertex presentation with a prior cesarean delivery (group 5) were the greatest relative contributor to cohort (34.8%) and hospital cesarean delivery frequencies (median: 33.6%; range: 23.8-45.5%). Nulliparous term singletons in vertex (NTSV) presentation (groups 1 [spontaneous labor] and 2 [induced or absent labor]: 28.9%), term singletons in vertex presentation with a prior cesarean delivery (group 5: 34.8%), and preterm singletons in vertex presentation (group 10: 9.8%) contributed to 73.2% of the relative cesarean delivery frequency for the cohort and were correlated with hospital cesarean delivery frequencies (Spearman's rho = 0.96). Differences in patient characteristics accounted for 34.1% of hospital-level cesarean delivery variation in group 2. CONCLUSION: The TGCS highlights the contribution of NTSV presentation to cesarean delivery frequencies and the impact of patient characteristics on hospital-level variation in cesarean deliveries among nulliparous patients with induced or absent labor. KEY POINTS: · We report on the cesarean delivery frequencies in a multicenter U.S. COHORT: . · NTSV gestations (groups 1 and 2) are a primary driver of cesarean deliveries.. · Patient characteristics contributed most to hospital variation in cesarean deliveries in group 2..

Predictive performance of newborn small for gestational age by a United States intrauterine vs birthweight-derived standard for short-term neonatal morbidity and mortality.

BACKGROUND: The use of birthweight standards to define small for gestational age may fail to identify neonates affected by poor fetal growth as they include births associated with suboptimal fetal growth. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare intrauterine vs birthweight-derived standards to define newborn small for gestational age to predict neonatal morbidity and mortality. STUDY DESIGN: This was a secondary analysis of a multicenter observational study of 118,422 births. Live-born singleton, nonanomalous newborns born at 23 to 41 weeks of gestation were included. Those with missing gestational age estimation or without a first- or second-trimester ultrasound to confirm dating, birthweight, or neonatal outcome data were excluded. Birthweight percentile was computed using an intrauterine standard (Hadlock) and a birthweight-derived standard (Olsen). We compared the test characteristics of small for gestational age (birthweight of <10th percentile) by each standard to predict a composite neonatal morbidity and mortality outcome (death before discharge, neonatal intensive care unit admission >48 hours, respiratory distress syndrome, sepsis, necrotizing enterocolitis, grade 3 or 4 intraventricular hemorrhage, or seizures). Severe composite morbidity was analyzed as a secondary outcome and was defined as death, neonatal intensive care unit admission >7 days, necrotizing enterocolitis, grade 3 or 4 intraventricular hemorrhage, or seizures. The areas under the curve using receiver-operating characteristic methodology and proportions of the primary outcome by small for gestational age status were compared by gestational age category at birth (<34, 34 0/7 to 36 6/7, ≥37 weeks). RESULTS: Of 115,502 mother-newborn dyads in the parent study, 78,203 (67.7%) were included, with most exclusions occurring because of missing or inadequate dating information, multiple gestations, or delivery outside the gestational age range. The primary composite outcome occurred in 9.5% (95% confidence interval, 9.3-9.7), and the severe composite outcome occurred in 5.3% (95% confidence interval, 5.1-5.4). Small for gestational age was diagnosed by intrauterine and birthweight-derived standards in 14.8% and 7.4%, respectively (P<.001). Neonates considered small for gestational age only by the intrauterine standard experienced the primary outcome more than twice as often as those considered non-small for gestational age by both standards (18.4% vs 7.9%; P<.001). For the prediction of the primary outcome, small for gestational age by the intrauterine standard had higher sensitivity (29% vs 15%; P<.001) but lower specificity (87% vs 93%; P<.001) than by the birthweight standard. Both standards had weak performance overall, although the intrauterine standard had a higher area under the curve (0.58 vs 0.53; P<.001). When subanalyzed by gestational age at birth, the difference in areas under the curve was only present among preterm deliveries 34 to 36 competed weeks. Neither standard demonstrated any discrimination for morbidity prediction among term births (area under the curve, 0.50 for both). When the prediction of severe morbidity was compared, the intrauterine still had better overall prediction than the birthweight standard (areas under the curve, 0.65 vs 0.57; P<.001), although this also varied by gestational age at birth. CONCLUSION: Among nonanomalous neonates, neither intrauterine nor birthweight-derived standards for small for gestational age accurately predicted neonatal morbidity and mortality, with no discriminatory ability at term. Small for gestational age intrauterine standards performed better than birthweight standards.

An evaluation of seasonal maternal-neonatal morbidity related to trainee cycles.

BACKGROUND: The existence of the "July phenomenon" (worse outcomes related to the presence of new physician trainees in teaching hospitals) has been debated in the literature and media. Previous studies of the phenomenon in obstetrics are limited by the quality and detail of data. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether the months of June to August, when transitions in trainees occur, are associated with increased maternal and neonatal morbidity. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary analysis of an observational cohort of 115,502 mother-infant pairs that delivered at 25 hospitals from March 2008 to February 2011. Inclusion criteria were an individual who had a singleton, nonanomalous live fetus at the onset of labor, and delivered at a hospital with trainees. The primary outcomes were composites of maternal and neonatal morbidity. We evaluated the outcomes by academic quarter during which the delivery occurred, beginning July 1, and by duration of the academic year as a continuous variable. To account for clustering in outcomes at a given delivery location, we applied hierarchical logistic regression with adjustment for hospital as a random effect. RESULTS: Of 115,502 deliveries, 99,929 met the inclusion criteria. Race and ethnicity, insurance, body mass index, drug use, and the availability of 24/7 maternal-fetal medicine, anesthesia, and neonatology varied by quarter. In adjusted analysis, the frequency of the composite maternal and neonatal morbidity did not differ by quarter. No differences in composite morbidity were observed when using day of the year as a continuous variable (maternal morbidity adjusted odds ratio, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 0.99-1.00 and neonatal morbidity adjusted odds ratio, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.01) and after adjustment for hospital as a random effect. Odds of major surgical complications in quarter 2 were twice those in quarter 1. Neonatal injury and intensive care unit were less frequent in later quarters. CONCLUSION: Maternal and neonatal morbidity in teaching hospitals was not associated with the academic quarter during which delivery occurred, and there was no evidence of a "July phenomenon".

A Model to Predict Vaginal Delivery and Maternal and Neonatal Morbidity in Low-Risk Nulliparous Patients at Term.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop and validate a model to predict the probability of vaginal delivery (VD) in low-risk term nulliparous patients, and to determine whether it can predict the risk of severe maternal and neonatal morbidity. METHODS: Secondary analysis of an obstetric cohort of patients and their neonates born in 25 hospitals across the United States (n = 115,502). Trained and certified research personnel abstracted the maternal and neonatal records. Nulliparous patients with singleton, nonanomalous vertex fetuses, admitted with an intent for VD ≥ 37 weeks were included in this analysis. Patients in active labor (cervical exam > 5 cm), those with prior cesarean and other comorbidities were excluded. Eligible patients were randomly divided into a training and test sets. Based on the training set, and using factors available at the time of admission for delivery, we developed and validated a logistic regression model to predict the probability of VD, and then estimated the prevalences of severe morbidity according to the predicted probability of VD. RESULTS: A total of 19,611 patients were included. Based on the training set (n = 9,739), a logistic regression model was developed that included maternal age, body mass index (BMI), cervical dilatation, and gestational age on admission. The model was internally validated on the test set (n = 9,872 patients) and yielded a receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve (ROC-AUC) of 0.71 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.70-0.72). Based on a subset of 18,803 patients with calculated predicted probabilities, we demonstrated that the prevalences of severe morbidity decreased as the predicted probability of VD increased (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: In a large cohort of low-risk nulliparous patients in early labor or undergoing induction of labor, at term with singleton gestations, we developed and validated a model to calculate the probability of VD, and maternal and neonatal morbidity. If externally validated, this calculator may be clinically useful in helping to direct level of care, staffing, and adjustment for case-mix among various systems. KEY POINTS: · A model to predict the probability of vaginal delivery in low-risk nulliparous patients at term.. · The model also predicts the risk of severe maternal and neonatal morbidity.. · The prevalences of severe morbidity decrease as the probability of vaginal delivery increases..

Labor Induction at 39 Weeks Compared with Expectant Management in Low-Risk Parous Women.

OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to compare outcomes among low-risk parous women who underwent elective labor induction at 39 weeks versus expectant management. STUDY DESIGN: This is a secondary analysis of an observational cohort of 115,502 mother-infant dyads who delivered at 25 hospitals between 2008 and 2011. The inclusion criteria for this analysis were low-risk parous women with nonanomalous singletons with at least one prior vaginal delivery after 20 weeks, who delivered at ≥390/7 weeks. Women who electively induced between 390/7 and 396/7 weeks were compared with women who expectantly managed ≥390/7 weeks. The primary outcome for this analysis was cesarean delivery. Secondary outcomes were composites of maternal adverse outcome and neonatal adverse outcome. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aOR). RESULTS: Of 20,822 women who met inclusion criteria, 2,648 (12.7%) were electively induced at 39 weeks. Cesarean delivery was lower among women who underwent elective induction at 39 weeks than those who did not (2.4 vs. 4.6%, adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53-0.92). The frequency of the composite maternal adverse outcome was significantly lower for the elective induction cohort as well (1.6 vs. 3.1%, aOR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.47-0.93). The composite neonatal adverse outcome was not significantly different between the two groups (0.3 vs. 0.6%; aOR: 0.60, 95% CI: 0.29-1.23). CONCLUSION: In low-risk parous women, elective induction of labor at 39 weeks was associated with decreased odds of cesarean delivery and maternal morbidity, without an increase in neonatal adverse outcomes. KEY POINTS: · 39-week elective induction is associated with decreased cesarean delivery in low-risk parous women.. · Compared with expectant management, maternal adverse outcomes were lower with elective induction.. · Neonatal adverse outcomes are unchanged between elective and expectant management groups..

Antenatal Corticosteroids and Preterm Neonatal Morbidity and Mortality among Women with and without Diabetes in Pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to determine whether antenatal corticosteroid exposure has a differential association with preterm neonatal morbidity among women with and without diabetes. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary analysis of an observational cohort of 115,502 women and their neonates born in 25 U.S. hospitals (2008-2011). Women who delivered at 230/7 to 336/7 weeks' gestation and received antenatal corticosteroids were compared with those who did not receive antenatal corticosteroids. Women with a stillbirth and women who delivered a neonate that was not resuscitated were excluded. The primary outcome was neonatal respiratory distress syndrome or death within 48 hours. Secondary outcomes included composite neonatal morbidity (respiratory distress syndrome, necrotizing enterocolitis, grades 3-4 intraventricular hemorrhage, sepsis, or death) and mechanical ventilation. Multivariable modified Poisson regression was used to estimate the association between antenatal corticosteroid exposure and neonatal outcomes. Maternal diabetes (pregestational and gestational) was evaluated as a potential effect modifier, and sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate whether receipt of a partial, single, or multiple course(s) of antenatal corticosteroids influenced results. RESULTS: A total of 4,429 women with 5,259 neonates met inclusion criteria: 3,716 (83.9%) women received antenatal corticosteroids and 713 (16.1%) did not. Of the 510 diabetic women (181 pregestational and 329 gestational), 439 (86.1%) received antenatal corticosteroids. Of the 3,919 nondiabetic women, 3,277 (83.6%) received antenatal corticosteroids. Antenatal corticosteroid exposure was not associated with respiratory distress syndrome or early death (adjusted relative risk [aRR] = 0.94, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.85-1.04), composite neonatal morbidity (aRR = 0.98, 95% CI: 0.89-1.07), or mechanical ventilation (aRR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.86-1.05). There was no significant effect modification of maternal diabetes on the relationship between antenatal corticosteroids and neonatal outcomes (p > 0.05), and outcomes were similar in sensitivity analyses of partial, single, or multiple courses of corticosteroids. DISCUSSION: Antenatal corticosteroid administered to reduce preterm neonatal morbidity does not appear to have a differential association among women with diabetes compared with those without. KEY POINTS: · Antenatal corticosteroids are used ubiquitously in women with and without diabetes.. · Maternal diabetes does not appear to modify the neonatal effect of antenatal corticosteroids.. · Larger studies of antenatal corticosteroids are needed to confirm our findings in diabetic women..

Outcomes in Twins Compared With Singletons Subsequent to Preterm Prelabor Rupture of Membranes.

OBJECTIVE: To compare maternal and neonatal outcomes after preterm prelabor rupture of membranes (PROM) from 23 to 34 weeks of gestation in twin compared with singleton gestations. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of an obstetric cohort of 115,502 individuals and their singleton or twin neonates born in 25 hospitals nationwide (2008-2011). Those with preterm PROM from 23 0/7 through 33 6/7 weeks of gestation were included; neonates with major fetal anomalies were excluded. The coprimary outcomes for this analysis were composite maternal morbidity (chorioamnionitis, blood transfusion, postpartum endometritis, wound infection, sepsis, venous thromboembolism, intensive care unit admission, or death) and composite major neonatal morbidity (persistent pulmonary hypertension, intraventricular hemorrhage grade III or IV, seizures, hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy, necrotizing enterocolitis stage II or III, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, stillbirth subsequent to admission, or neonatal death before discharge). Logistic regression was used to estimate unadjusted and adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs for twin compared with singleton gestations. RESULTS: Of 1,531 (1.3%) individuals who met eligibility criteria for this analysis, 218 (14.2%) had twin gestations. The median gestational age at preterm PROM was similar between those with twins and singletons (31.2 weeks [interquartile range 27.4-32.9] vs 30.6 weeks [interquartile range 26.9-32.7], P=.23); however, those with twin gestations had a shorter median latency period (2.0 days [interquartile range 1.0-5.0] vs 3.0 days [interquartile range 2.0-8.0], P<.001). After adjustment for potential confounders, odds of experiencing composite maternal morbidity (17.9% vs 19.3%, adjusted OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.66-1.42) or composite neonatal morbidity (20.4% vs 20.5%, OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.72-1.31) did not differ between groups. CONCLUSION: In a large, diverse cohort, the likelihood of composite maternal or neonatal morbidity per fetus after preterm PROM was similar for twin and singleton gestations.

Differences in obstetrical care and outcomes associated with the proportion of the obstetrician's shift completed.

BACKGROUND: Understanding and improving obstetrical quality and safety is an important goal of professional societies, and many interventions such as checklists, safety bundles, educational interventions, or other culture changes have been implemented to improve the quality of care provided to obstetrical patients. Although many factors contribute to delivery decisions, a reduced workload has addressed how provider issues such as fatigue or behaviors surrounding impending shift changes may influence the delivery mode and outcomes. OBJECTIVE: The objective was to assess whether intrapartum obstetrical interventions and adverse outcomes differ based on the temporal proximity of the delivery to the attending's shift change. STUDY DESIGN: This was a secondary analysis from a multicenter obstetrical cohort in which all patients with cephalic, singleton gestations who attempted vaginal birth were eligible for inclusion. The primary exposure used to quantify the relationship between the proximity of the provider to their shift change and a delivery intervention was the ratio of time from the most recent attending shift change to vaginal delivery or decision for cesarean delivery to the total length of the shift. Ratios were used to represent the proportion of time completed in the shift by normalizing for varying shift lengths. A sensitivity analysis restricted to patients who were delivered by physicians working 12-hour shifts was performed. Outcomes chosen included cesarean delivery, episiotomy, third- or fourth-degree perineal laceration, 5-minute Apgar score of <4, and neonatal intensive care unit admission. Chi-squared tests were used to evaluate outcomes based on the proportion of the attending's shift completed. Adjusted and unadjusted logistic models fitting a cubic spline (when indicated) were used to determine whether the frequency of outcomes throughout the shift occurred in a statistically significant, nonlinear pattern RESULTS: Of the 82,851 patients eligible for inclusion, 47,262 (57%) had ratio data available and constituted the analyzable sample. Deliveries were evenly distributed throughout shifts, with 50.6% taking place in the first half of shifts. There were no statistically significant differences in the frequency of cesarean delivery, episiotomy, third- or fourth-degree perineal lacerations, or 5-minute Apgar scores of <4 based on the proportion of the shift completed. The findings were unchanged when evaluated with a cubic spline in unadjusted and adjusted logistic models. Sensitivity analyses performed on the 22.2% of patients who were delivered by a physician completing a 12-hour shift showed similar findings. There was a small increase in the frequency of neonatal intensive care unit admissions with a greater proportion of the shift completed (adjusted P=.009), but the findings did not persist in the sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSION: Clinically significant differences in obstetrical interventions and outcomes do not seem to exist based on the temporal proximity to the attending physician's shift change. Future work should attempt to directly study unit culture and provider fatigue to further investigate opportunities to improve obstetrical quality of care, and additional studies are needed to corroborate these findings in community settings.

Neonatal and Maternal Composite Adverse Outcomes Among Low-Risk Nulliparous Women Compared With Multiparous Women at 39-41 Weeks of Gestation.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate whether the frequency of adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes differs between low-risk nulliparous and multiparous women at 39-41 weeks of gestation. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of an observational obstetrics cohort of maternal-neonatal dyads at 25 hospitals. Low-risk women with nonanomalous singletons who delivered between 39 0/7 and 41 6/7 weeks of gestation were included. The composite neonatal adverse outcome included 5-minute Apgar score less than five, ventilator support or cardiopulmonary resuscitation, seizure, hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy, sepsis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, persistent pulmonary hypertension, necrotizing enterocolitis, birth injury or perinatal death. The composite maternal adverse outcome included infection, third- or fourth-degree perineal laceration, thromboembolism, transfusion of blood products, or maternal death. Small for gestational age (SGA), large for gestational age (LGA), and shoulder dystocia requiring maneuvers were also evaluated. Multivariable regression was used to estimate adjusted relative risks (aRRs) and adjusted odds ratios (aORs) with 95% CIs. RESULTS: Of the 115,502 women in the overall cohort, 39,870 (34.5%) met eligibility criteria for this analysis; 18,245 (45.8%) were nulliparous. The risk of the composite neonatal adverse outcome (1.5% vs 1.0%, aRR 1.80, 95% CI 1.48-2.19), composite maternal adverse outcome (15.1% vs 3.3%, aRR 5.04, 95% CI 4.62-5.49), and SGA (8.9% vs 5.8%, aOR 1.45, 95% CI 1.33-1.57) was significantly higher in nulliparous than multiparous patients. The risk of LGA (aOR 0.65, 95% CI 0.60-0.71) and shoulder dystocia with maneuvers (aRR 0.68, 95% CI 0.60-0.77) was significantly lower in nulliparous rather than multiparous patients. CONCLUSION: The risk of composite adverse outcomes and SGA among low-risk nulliparous women at 39-41 weeks of gestation is significantly higher than among multiparous counterparts. However, nulliparous women had a lower risk of shoulder dystocia with maneuvers and LGA.

Continuous Epidural Hydromorphone Infusion for Post-Cesarean Delivery Analgesia in a Patient on Methadone Maintenance Therapy: A Case Report.

The prevalence of opioid use disorder (OUD) in the United States has more than quadrupled over the past two decades. This patient population presents a number of challenges to clinicians, including difficult pain management after surgical procedures due to the development of opioid tolerance. Significantly greater opioid consumption and pain scores after cesarean delivery have been reported in patients with OUD compared to other obstetric patients. A multi-modal analgesic regimen is generally recommended, but there are few well-established pain management strategies after cesarean delivery specific to patients with OUD. We present the case of a patient with OUD maintained on daily methadone that received a continuous epidural hydromorphone infusion for post-cesarean analgesia, a technique not previously reported in obstetric patients and only rarely described for patients undergoing other surgical procedures. The patient received epidural anesthesia for cesarean delivery, and after surgery, the epidural catheter was left in place for the epidural hydromorphone infusion, initiated at 140 mcg/hr and continued for approximately 40 hrs. This strategy reduced her average daily oral opioid consumption by 97%, reduced self-reported pain scores, shortened the length of hospitalization and improved ability to ambulate compared to her previous cesarean delivery. The use of continuous epidural hydromorphone infusion was effective in this case, and this analgesic technique may also be applicable to other types of surgical procedures with the potential for significant post-operative pain, particularly in patients with OUD.

Hepatitis C Virus Antibody Screening in a Cohort of Pregnant Women: Identifying Seroprevalence and Risk Factors.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody, evaluate current risk factors associated with HCV antibody positivity, and identify novel composite risk factors for identification of groups most likely to demonstrate HCV antibody seropositivity in an obstetric population from 2012 to 2015. METHODS: The Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network initiated an observational study of mother-to-child transmission of HCV in 2012 that included offering HCV antibody screening to their entire obstetric population. Women presenting for prenatal care before 23 weeks of gestation without a known multifetal gestation were eligible. For each woman who was HCV antibody-positive, two women at similar gestational age who were HCV antibody-negative were identified and included for comparison. Risk factors were evaluated by patient interview and chart review. Women in the case group were identified to have a signal-to-cutoff value of at least 5 on the Abbott ARCHITECT platform. RNA status was evaluated for women in the case group. RESULTS: Of 106,842 women screened for the HCV antibody, 254 had positive results. The HCV antibody seroprevalence rate was 2.4 cases per 1,000 women (95% CI 2.1-2.7). One hundred thirty-one women in the case group and 251 women in the control group were included in the case-control analysis. Factors associated with HCV antibody positivity included injection drug use (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 22.9, 95% CI 8.2-64.0), blood transfusion (aOR 3.7, 95% CI 1.3-10.4), having a partner with HCV (aOR 6.3, 95% CI 1.8-22.6), more than three lifetime sexual partners (aOR 5.3, 95% CI 1.4-19.8), and smoking (aOR 2.4, 95% CI 1.2-4.6). A composite of any of these potential risk factors provided the highest sensitivity for detecting HCV antibody (75/82 cases, 91%). CONCLUSION: In this cohort, the seroprevalence of HCV antibody was low, and the current risk factors for HCV screening were not identified. These findings may be useful in defining new strategies for identifying mothers with the HCV antibody and the neonates susceptible to maternal transmission of HCV. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01959321.